Technology & Innovation
Vertical Aerospace Expected to Generate £9 Billion Revenue by 2035
Frontier Economics study projects Vertical Aerospace’s £9 billion revenue by 2035, supporting UK jobs and contributing £3 billion annually to the economy.

This article is based on an official report released by Frontier Economics and commissioned by Vertical Aerospace.
Report: Vertical Aerospace Projected to Generate £9 Billion in Revenue by 2035
A new economic impact study released in December 2025 suggests that the United Kingdom’s electric aviation sector is poised to become a significant contributor to the national economy. The report, titled “Next-Gen Aviation: Made in the UK” and conducted by Frontier Economics, uses Bristol-based Vertical Aerospace as a primary case study to demonstrate the financial viability of electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft.
Commissioned by Vertical Aerospace, the findings argue that zero-emission aviation is transitioning from a future ambition to a current economic driver. The data highlights substantial potential for high-value job creation and export-led growth, particularly within the South West of England’s historic aerospace cluster.
Economic Projections and Export Potential
The Frontier Economics report outlines aggressive growth targets for Vertical Aerospace over the next decade. According to the study’s projections, the company’s annual revenues could approach £9 billion by 2035. A significant portion of this revenue is expected to come from international markets, with the report estimating that approximately 90% of sales will be exports.
Beyond direct revenue, the report calculates the broader economic benefits for the UK:
- Gross Value Added (GVA): The company is forecast to contribute up to £3 billion annually to the UK economy by 2035.
- Tax Revenue: Annual tax payments to the UK Exchequer are projected to reach nearly £800 million by the same year.
Workforce and Regional Impact
The study emphasizes the role of “next-generation” aviation in sustaining the UK’s skilled manufacturing base. Vertical Aerospace currently employs 479 people. However, the report projects that direct employment at the company will rise to approximately 2,200 Full-Time Equivalent (FTE) roles by 2035.
Frontier Economics notes that these roles command a “wage premium,” with salaries at the company reportedly reaching up to twice the average for the region and the wider sector. This data is presented as evidence that the shift to green aviation supports high-quality employment rather than just volume.
Supply Chain Localization
In an effort to highlight the “Made in the UK” aspect of the industry, the report analyzes procurement data from 2022 to 2024. It finds that over 60% of Vertical Aerospace’s procurement was retained within the UK. This domestic spending reportedly supported roughly 720 additional jobs in the Bristol area and generated £21 million in local spending during that period.
“Vertical’s activities are well-aligned with the UK government’s priorities for industrial strategy, innovation, clean growth and defence… With sustained investment and supportive policy, Vertical could help shape the next generation of global aviation.”
, Andrew Leicester, Executive Director for Public Policy at Frontier Economics
Strategic Context: The “Jet Zero” Landscape
The release of this data comes as the UK aviation industry works to align with the government’s “Jet Zero” strategy, which mandates net-zero aviation emissions by 2050. This strategy relies on three pillars: system efficiencies, Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF), and Zero-Emission Flight (ZEF).
The Frontier Economics report positions Vertical Aerospace within the ZEF pillar, arguing that new entrants are essential for modernizing regional hubs like the South West. This aligns with previous findings from the government-backed FlyZero project, which identified a “once-in-a-generation” opportunity for the UK to capture the global zero-emission aircraft market.
AirPro News Analysis
The Push for Policy Support
While the projected figures of £9 billion in revenue and £3 billion in GVA are impressive, we note that they remain projections contingent on certification timelines and market adoption. The timing of this report is likely strategic. By quantifying the return on investment for the taxpayer, specifically the £800 million in potential tax revenue, Vertical Aerospace is building a case for continued or increased government support.
As the industry faces high capital costs associated with certification and scaling manufacturing, demonstrating a tangible “ripple effect” in the local supply chain is a critical lever for securing grants and favorable policy frameworks. The report effectively argues that supporting eVTOLs is not just an environmental decision, but a necessary industrial strategy to prevent the UK’s aerospace sector from stagnating.
Sources
Sources: Frontier Economics
Photo Credit: Vertical Aerospace
Sustainable Aviation
SABA Members Back Infinium eSAF Facility With Long-Term Deals
Google, McKinsey, and others sign binding SAFc agreements to support Infinium Energy’s 100,000 MT/year Texas eSAF project.

Corporate members of the Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance (SABA) have signed binding, multi-year agreements to purchase sustainable aviation fuel certificates (SAFc) from Infinium Energy’s planned electro-sustainable aviation fuel (eSAF) facility in Texas. The commitments, announced on September 22, 2026, are designed to provide the financial demand signals necessary for Infinium to reach a final investment decision on the project.
In a press release issued by SABA, the organization confirmed that American Airlines (AA) will serve as the physical offtaker for the fuel, managing logistics and delivery. The corporate buyers purchasing the associated certificates include AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, and McKinsey & Company. The agreement marks the first time SABA’s procurement model has been utilized to directly drive new production capacity for scalable sustainable aviation fuel.
Project Atlas production and environmental targets
Infinium Energy was selected through a SABA procurement process earlier in 2026 to provide ultra-low carbon eSAF. The fuel is produced using waste carbon dioxide and renewable energy, distinguishing it from traditional biofuel pathways that rely on agricultural or waste feedstocks.
The planned Texas facility, designated Project Atlas, is expected to have an annual sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production capacity of 100,000 metric tons. According to the alliance, the contracted volumes will support an expected greenhouse gas abatement of 212,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (mtCO2e). SABA equates this emissions reduction to approximately 3,500 commercial flights between John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK) and Los Angeles International Airport (LAX).
“We’re proud to partner with SABA members including AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, McKinsey, and others, as well as American Airlines to bring Infinium Energy’s next world scale eSAF facility to life. Their commitment reflects a shared conviction that decarbonizing aviation requires real investment in next-generation supply,” said Robert Schuetzle, CEO of Infinium Energy.
Aggregating demand through book-and-claim
The transaction utilizes a book-and-claim model. Corporate buyers purchase the SAFc to claim the environmental benefits against their business travel emissions, while the physical fuel is delivered to partner airlines. This mechanism allows corporations to fund SAF production even when the physical fuel cannot be delivered directly to the airports their employees use.
American Airlines will manage the physical integration of the eSAF into the commercial aviation fuel supply chain. Jill Blickstein, Chief Sustainability Officer at American Airlines, stated that the corporate commitments broaden participation in the SAF market and demonstrate how customers can collaborate with airlines and fuel producers to advance decarbonization.
SABA, a joint initiative of the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF), the Center for Green Market Activation (GMA), and RMI, has aggregated $500 million in SAFc demand from 35 companies to date. Aviation currently accounts for approximately 2 to 3 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions.
“Novel technologies are critical to meeting future demand for sustainable aviation fuel, but they will not be operational in time without investments made today. This procurement demonstrates how aggregated, long-term demand can help take promising eSAF projects from idea to reality,” said Jon Creyts, CEO of RMI.
AirPro News analysis
We view this agreement as a critical structural step for the eSAF market. Power-to-Liquid (PtL) fuels like those planned for Project Atlas face a steep commercialization barrier. They are highly capital-intensive to build and currently produce fuel at a significant cost premium compared to both conventional Jet A and HEFA-based SAF derived from waste fats and oils.
Airlines operate on thin margins and generally cannot absorb the full green premium of eSAF alone. By unbundling the environmental attributes from the physical fuel, the SABA model allows highly capitalized corporate entities like Google and McKinsey & Company to absorb that premium. More importantly, signing binding, multi-year offtake agreements provides the revenue certainty that infrastructure lenders require before financing first-of-a-kind industrial facilities. If Project Atlas reaches a positive final investment decision based on these contracts, it will validate the book-and-claim model as a viable financing mechanism for next-generation aerospace infrastructure.
Sources: Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance via PR Newswire
Photo Credit: Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance
Technology & Innovation
Skyfly Axe eVTOL to Debut at AirVenture as FAA MOSAIC Takes Effect
Skyfly Technologies will showcase the Axe eVTOL at EAA AirVenture 2026, aligned with the FAA MOSAIC Phase 2 LSA certification rule.

UK and US-based aerospace manufacturer Skyfly Technologies Ltd announced on June 15, 2026, that it will debut its Axe Vertically Capable Aircraft at EAA AirVenture in Oshkosh, Wisconsin, aligning with the final implementation of the Federal Aviation Administration’s new light sport aircraft regulations.
In a press release, the company stated the July 20 to 26, 2026 exhibition coincides directly with the July 24, 2026 effective date for Phase 2 of the Modernization of Special Airworthiness Certification (MOSAIC) rule. This regulatory shift provides a viable certification pathway for personal electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft by allowing them to be classified as Light Sport Aircraft (LSA) rather than requiring complex transport-category type certification.
Aligning with the MOSAIC framework
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) published the final MOSAIC rule in the Federal Register on July 24, 2025, with Phase 1 taking effect in October 2025. The upcoming Phase 2 implementation replaces the legacy 1,320-pound weight limit for the LSA category with performance-based metrics, such as stall speed limits. This officially permits powered-lift aircraft to qualify for LSA certification, allowing manufacturers to utilize industry consensus standards.
Skyfly Chief Executive Officer Michael Thompson highlighted the regulatory alignment between the company’s design philosophy and the new FAA framework.
“The timing could not be better. The Axe was conceived around a simple idea: that personal vertical flight can be safe and accessible when simplicity, efficiency and redundancy are built into the design. MOSAIC creates a framework that recognizes those principles.”
Prior to the MOSAIC framework, manufacturers of personal eVTOLs faced the prospect of pursuing transport-category type certification. Thompson noted that the special conditions for vertically capable aircraft were designed for transport-level operations, describing the legacy requirement as “completely overkill” for light sport applications.
Axe VCA development and specifications
The Axe Vertically Capable Aircraft (VCA) is a two-seat personal eVTOL intended for private ownership rather than commercial air taxi operations. Designed by Chief Technology Officer Dr. William Brooks, the aircraft utilizes a dual-wing canard design equipped with eight electric motors driving four rotors, generating 280 kW of peak power.
According to company specifications, the Axe has a maximum all-up weight of 690 kg and a payload capacity of 172 kg. The aircraft is designed to achieve a fully electric range of 100 miles and a cruise speed of 100 mph.
Skyfly, headquartered in Oxfordshire, UK, with a US office at SunTrax in Auburndale, Florida, has accumulated 57 customer orders for the Axe as of May 2026.
Flight testing progression and future targets
Founded in 2019, Skyfly has advanced the Axe through multiple testing phases. The aircraft completed its initial manned hover flights in November 2024, followed by piloted fixed-wing test flights in March 2025. In August 2025, the prototype executed a 10-nautical-mile cross-country flight between Turweston and Bicester in the UK, marking a milestone for airfield-to-airfield eVTOL operations in Europe.
The company is currently preparing for transition flight testing to evaluate the shift between vertical and forward flight. Skyfly is also developing a second prototype in the UK, which will feature a new propulsion system and a larger battery to mitigate thermal limitations identified during earlier hover tests. Testing of this upgraded propulsion package is scheduled to begin in late 2026, with the company targeting initial customer deliveries in 2027.
AirPro News analysis
The implementation of the FAA MOSAIC rule represents a structural shift for the lower end of the advanced air mobility market. By removing the prohibitive cost barrier of transport-category type certification, regulators are opening a viable commercial path for private-use eVTOLs. We expect this regulatory clarity to accelerate development timelines for manufacturers like Skyfly, shifting the competitive focus from certification strategy to production scaling and consumer adoption. The presence of the Axe at EAA AirVenture, an event expected to draw 700,000 attendees, signals a deliberate pivot toward the traditional general aviation consumer base, testing whether the experimental and light sport communities are ready to embrace powered-lift technology.
Photo Credit: Skyfly
Technology & Innovation
Horizon Aircraft Signs LOI With Great Lakes Helicopter for Cavorite X7
Horizon Aircraft and Great Lakes Helicopter sign an LOI for Cavorite X7 MRO, pilot training, and aircraft purchases ahead of commercial debut.

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. and Great Lakes Helicopter Corp. signed a Letter of Intent on September 29, 2026, to establish maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, pilot training programs, and aircraft purchases for the Cavorite X7 hybrid-electric aircraft. The agreement secures a critical operational pipeline for the next-generation vertical take-off and landing aircraft ahead of its commercial debut.
Announced in a press release issued by Horizon Aircraft, the partnership pairs the aerospace engineering company with an established Ontario-based flight school and commercial operator. By securing Great Lakes Helicopter as a foundational partner, Horizon Aircraft aims to ensure future operators have immediate access to the maintenance and training infrastructure required to integrate the Cavorite X7 into active fleets.
Building the operational ecosystem
As the Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) sector matures, Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are increasingly prioritizing the ground infrastructure necessary to support their platforms. The agreement with Great Lakes Helicopter addresses this requirement by leveraging an existing Transport Canada-approved flight training school and charter operator based in Cambridge, Ontario.
Established in 2003, Great Lakes Helicopter operates a fleet of Robinson R22, Robinson R44, and Bell 206 Helicopters. The company’s in-house maintenance division, Rotor Services Limited, has maintained helicopters at the Region of Waterloo International Airport for over 30 years. Under the new agreement, this entity will expand its capabilities to support the Cavorite X7.
“We are building a new Rotor Services maintenance facility that will support next-generation platforms like the X7. Aircraft like this could open up faster, more reliable access to critical services for remote and underserved communities, and we want GLH’s maintenance, training, and operations expertise to be part of making that real,” said Chad McIntosh, Managing Director of Great Lakes Helicopter.
Horizon Aircraft Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer Brandon Robinson emphasized that establishing this ecosystem is a prerequisite for commercial success. Partnering with an experienced organization gives future customers a defined path toward integrating the hybrid-electric aircraft into their operations.
“Partnering with an experienced MRO and pilot training organisation like Great Lakes Helicopter is an important step as we build the ecosystem needed to support the Cavorite X7 and its future customers. With so many operators and communities poised to benefit from the X7’s capabilities, having reliable maintenance and pilot training in place gives future customers a clearer path toward integrating our next-generation VTOL aircraft into their operations,” Robinson stated.
The Cavorite X7 hybrid-electric approach
The Cavorite X7 differentiates itself from fully electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) competitors through its hybrid-electric architecture. Designed to carry six passengers, the aircraft utilizes a patented fan-in-wing configuration. Electric fans embedded in the wings provide vertical lift, and panels close over these fans during forward flight to reduce aerodynamic drag.
Forward thrust is generated by a Pratt & Whitney Canada PT6 turboprop engine. This engine simultaneously recharges the onboard battery array during flight, removing the requirement for extensive ground charging infrastructure. Horizon Aircraft estimates the Cavorite X7 will achieve a range of 800 km (500 miles) and a top speed of 450 km/h (280 mph).
This hybrid model targets regional air mobility, emergency medical services, and military applications in areas where electrical grid infrastructure is limited. By partnering with established maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) providers like Great Lakes Helicopter, Horizon Aircraft ensures the Cavorite X7 can operate within existing aviation networks without demanding proprietary charging or maintenance facilities.
Transitioning from design to manufacturing
Headquartered in Lindsay, Ontario, New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. was founded in 2013 by former Royal Canadian Air Force fighter pilot Brandon Robinson and his father, Brian Robinson. The company has steadily advanced the Cavorite X7 program, securing a U.S. Department of Defense Phase 1 High Speed Vertical Takeoff and Landing contract in January 2022.
In early 2026, the Cavorite X7 program transitioned from the design phase to manufacturing. Horizon Aircraft locked in the aircraft’s Outer Mold Line design in January 2026. The following month, the company announced manufacturing partnerships, selecting RAMPF Composites to produce the fuselage and North Aircraft to manufacture the wings.
While the September 29, 2026, Letter of Intent includes Great Lakes Helicopter’s intention to purchase Cavorite X7 aircraft, the exact number of airframes and the timeline for commercial production and delivery remain undisclosed.
AirPro News analysis
We view this Letter of Intent as a pragmatic step for Horizon Aircraft, highlighting a critical divergence in strategy within the Advanced Air Mobility sector. While pure eVTOL developers are forced to invest heavily in proprietary charging networks and bespoke maintenance facilities, Horizon’s hybrid-electric design allows it to plug directly into the existing aviation ecosystem. Securing an established MRO and training partner like Great Lakes Helicopter validates this approach, demonstrating that legacy aviation service providers see a viable business case in supporting hybrid platforms. If Horizon can execute on its manufacturing timeline, this plug-and-play operational model could offer a significant advantage in early market adoption, particularly for remote and utility operations.
Photo Credit: New Horizon Aircraft Ltd.
-
Space & Satellites6 days agoSpaceX Starship Reaches Orbit on 14th Test Flight
-
Commercial Aviation5 days agoGlobal Aviation Conference Frankfurt 2026 Opens with 600 Senior Executives and 11 Panels on the Industry’s Hardest Questions
-
Training & Certification6 days agoBoeing Invests $17M CAD in Saskatchewan Aviation Learning Centre
-
MRO & Manufacturing2 days agoBoeing SPEEA Engineers Ratify Four-Year Contract in 2026
-
Business Aviation3 days agoFAA Certifies Garmin Autoland for Epic E1000 AX Turboprop
