Turkish Aerospace Aims for 1450 Aircraft Production by 2034

Turkish Aerospace Industries Sets Sights on Producing 1,450 Aircraft by 2034

Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) has unveiled an ambitious plan to manufacture approximately 1,450 aircraft and platforms by 2034. This bold initiative marks a significant leap in Turkey’s aerospace capabilities, aligning with the country’s broader strategy to strengthen its indigenous defense industry and reduce reliance on foreign suppliers.

Announced by TAI General Manager Mehmet Demiroğlu at the company’s Kahramankazan facilities, the roadmap includes the production of advanced fighter jets, training aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and helicopters. The plan is not only a demonstration of technological aspiration but also a strategic economic and geopolitical maneuver aimed at positioning Turkey as a key player in the global aerospace market.

With a projected revenue target of $12 billion by 2034, TAI’s production strategy reflects both confidence in domestic demand and a growing focus on international exports. The company’s expanding global footprint, investments in indigenous engine development, and strategic partnerships with NATO countries underscore the significance of this plan in shaping the future of aerospace in Turkey and beyond.

Massive Production Targets and Strategic Aircraft Programs

Breakdown of Aircraft Production Goals

TAI’s 10-year production plan includes a diverse array of aircraft. Among the 1,450 platforms expected to be produced are 500 KAAN fighter jets, 350 helicopters including Gökbey and ATAK variants, and nearly 600 UAVs such as ANKA-3, ANKA-1, and Aksungur. Additional platforms include trainer aircraft like Hürjet and Hürkuş.

The KAAN fighter jet, Turkey’s indigenous fifth-generation combat aircraft, is central to this plan. The prototype performed taxi and ground tests on March 16, 2023, and was ceremonially rolled out two days later. Its maiden flight was completed on February 21, 2024. (en.wikipedia.org) According to Demiroğlu, two prototypes are currently in the assembly phase, with one expected to be completed by the end of this year and the other early next year. By 2028, TAI aims to start deliveries to the Turkish Air Force.

TAI also aims to deliver 55 Hürkuş trainer aircraft, with 10 scheduled for delivery in 2025. The Hürjet advanced trainer, another flagship program, has garnered international attention, particularly from Spain. The first delivery to the Turkish Air Force is set for early 2027, with Spain expecting deliveries in 2028.

“When we look at what we have ahead until 2034, there are approximately 500 KAAN, Hürjet, and Hürkuş production. We see production of over 350 Gökbey, Atak, Atak-2 and similar platforms, and nearly 600 Anka-3, Atak, Anka-1, Aksungur and similar platforms.” – Mehmet Demiroğlu, TAI General Manager

Technological Advancements and Indigenous Engines

TAI’s strategy includes a strong emphasis on technological self-sufficiency, particularly in engine development. A major milestone was achieved with the PD170 engine, produced by TEI, reaching an altitude of 40,000 feet. This diesel-powered engine is now integrated into the Aksungur UAV, which can remain airborne for 52 hours and cover 3,000 kilometers.

Further advancements are underway in helicopter engine production, with the Gökbey helicopter expected to be powered by a domestically produced engine within the next two years. TAI also continues to develop engines for the KAAN and Hürjet programs, with plans to eventually replace foreign-supplied engines with indigenous alternatives.

These developments are key to ensuring autonomy in critical systems and mitigating the impact of international sanctions or export restrictions. They also enhance the export potential of TAI’s platforms by offering fully indigenous solutions to client nations.

Export Strategies and Global Expansion

TAI is actively expanding its global presence, with offices in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Africa. New offices are being established in Algeria, Saudi, Saudi Arabia, and Brazil, reflecting a strategic push into emerging defense markets.

The recent agreement with Spain, facilitated by Airbus and the Spanish Ministry of Defense, marks a significant breakthrough. The deal involves joint production and delivery of Hürjet aircraft, potentially opening the door to NATO markets. TAI hopes this collaboration will position Hürjet as NATO’s preferred training aircraft.

Demiroğlu emphasized the importance of localization, noting that 125 nationalization projects have already been implemented, with 330 more underway. These efforts are expected to retain $1 billion annually within Turkey’s economy, further supporting TAI’s growth and sustainability.

Challenges, Opportunities, and Industry Implications

Scaling Operations and Managing Complexity

Producing 1,450 aircraft within a decade poses significant logistical and operational challenges. Scaling up manufacturing infrastructure, maintaining quality control, and managing a complex supply chain are critical hurdles that TAI must navigate.

According to aviation industry expert Ayşe Demir, “Achieving production of 1,450 aircraft by 2034 will require not only technological innovation but also robust supply chain management and international partnerships.”

TAI has responded by expanding its workforce—now nearly 16,000 employees—and investing in high-tech production facilities. The company collaborates with global aerospace leaders such as Boeing, Airbus, and Spirit Aerosystems, producing parts across more than 400 advanced manufacturing benches.

Financial Growth and Economic Impact

TAI’s financial trajectory is aligned with its production goals. The company reported nearly $3 billion in revenue for 2024 and aims to reach $4.3 billion in 2025. By 2034, the target is $12 billion, reflecting both domestic sales and anticipated export contracts.

This growth is expected to contribute significantly to Turkey’s defense economy and support broader national goals of technological sovereignty and industrial development. The localization of components and systems also ensures that a larger share of value remains within the country.

TAI is also focusing on expanding its service and logistics operations. With 83 Anka UAVs and 92 Atak helicopters currently in service, the company is building capabilities in maintenance, spare parts, and operational support—areas expected to become major revenue sources in the coming years.

Geopolitical and Strategic Implications

TAI’s expansion aligns with Turkey’s strategic ambitions to enhance regional influence and become a major player in the global defense industry. The development of indigenous platforms like KAAN and ANKA-3 allows Turkey to reduce dependency on foreign suppliers and assert greater autonomy in defense policy.

International interest in TAI’s products is growing. Saudi Arabia and Indonesia have shown strong interest in the KAAN fighter jet, while African nations are exploring UAV acquisitions. These developments not only boost TAI’s business prospects but also enhance Turkey’s geopolitical leverage.

Defense analyst Dr. Selim Yılmaz noted, “TAI’s production plan is a bold step that underscores Turkey’s commitment to developing an autonomous defense industrial base. The KAAN fighter jet, if successful, will mark a significant leap in Turkey’s aerospace capabilities.”

Conclusion

TAI’s plan to produce 1,450 aircraft by 2034 represents a transformative moment for Turkey’s defense and aerospace industries. With an aggressive production timeline, expanding global partnerships, and a focus on indigenous technologies, the company is positioning itself as a formidable force in the international aerospace market.

While challenges remain—particularly in scaling operations and competing globally—the strategic vision and government support behind TAI’s efforts suggest a high likelihood of success. As the aerospace landscape continues to evolve, TAI’s trajectory will be closely watched by both allies and competitors alike.

FAQ

What types of aircraft is TAI planning to produce?
TAI’s plan includes fighter jets (KAAN), trainer aircraft (Hürjet, Hürkuş), UAVs (ANKA series, Aksungur), and helicopters (Gökbey, ATAK).

When will the first KAAN fighter jet be delivered?
TAI aims to begin deliveries of the KAAN fighter jet to the Turkish Air Force by 2028.

What is the significance of the agreement with Spain?
The agreement with Spain, involving Airbus, marks a major export opportunity for Hürjet and could open the door to NATO markets.

How is TAI addressing engine development?
TAI is developing indigenous engines for several platforms, including the PD170 for UAVs and future engines for helicopters and fighter jets.

How much revenue does TAI expect to generate by 2034?
TAI targets $12 billion in annual revenue by 2034, up from approximately $3 billion in 2024.

Sources

Türkiye Today,
Turkish Aerospace Industries,
Defense News,
Middle East Institute,
Aviation Week