This article is based on an official press release from Avion Express.

Avion Express Returns 15 Aircraft Amid European Aviation “Cost Pincer”

In a stark indicator of the mounting pressures facing the European aviation sector ahead of the 2026 summer season, ACMI (Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, and Insurance) specialist Avion Express has announced a major fleet reduction. According to a company press release dated March 31, 2026, the operator is returning 15 aircraft to lessors, citing a complex geopolitical environment, airspace closures, and rising fuel costs.

The decision to shed capacity highlights a broader trend among European carriers, who are drastically scaling back their summer expansion plans in response to severe macroeconomic headwinds. As an ACMI provider, often utilized by major Airlines to handle seasonal summer peaks, Avion Express serves as a bellwether for the industry’s anticipated demand and profitability.

To survive what industry analysts are calling a regulatory and geopolitical “cost pincer,” Avion Express is accelerating its strategic pivot toward the Latin American market. By utilizing its newly established Brazilian subsidiary, the company aims to hedge against European volatility and maintain operational resilience.

The Fleet Realignment and European Market Pressures

A Significant Capacity Reduction

The redelivery of 15 Airbus A320 family aircraft represents a massive reduction in the company’s operational footprint. According to industry research data, this cutback accounts for more than 25 percent of Avion Express’s total European operational capacity. Prior to this announcement, market data indicated the company operated 18 aircraft under its Lithuanian registry and 37 under its Maltese subsidiary.

In the official press release, Avion Express CEO Darius Kajokas explained that the move is a direct response to shifting market dynamics.

“Recent geopolitical developments have clearly had an immediate impact on market dynamics, with carriers across Europe revising growth plans amid cost pressures and uncertainty,” Kajokas stated in the release.

The company currently provides ACMI services to major European players, including Eurowings, Transavia, Air Algérie, and tour operator Novaturas. However, Kajokas noted that European demand this summer is not expected to reach the levels seen last year.

The “Cost Pincer”: Fuel Shortages and Green Taxes

The “geopolitical developments” referenced by Avion Express are tied to severe, ongoing macroeconomic issues in Europe. Industry research highlights that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly involving the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has severely disrupted global oil supply chains. Europe, which imports over 40 percent of its aviation fuel, is feeling the strain.

Market data reports that jet fuel prices in Europe recently hit a record high of $1,900 per ton. Trade journals and industry analysts warn that major European countries could face physical kerosene shortages by May or June 2026. This concern was echoed in recent industry reports by Ourania Georgoutsakou, Executive Director of Airlines for Europe (A4E), who noted that Middle Eastern uncertainty is causing deep concern regarding European jet fuel availability.

Beyond fuel, European airlines are facing the total phase-out of free carbon allowances under the EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS). Industry estimates suggest that operating older-generation narrowbodies, such as Avion Express’s A320ceo fleet, will cost 25 percent more in 2026 than in previous years due to these stringent environmental regulations.

Strategic Pivot to Latin America

Hedging with Avion Express Brasil

To offset the European downturn, Avion Express is heavily leaning into its South American expansion. The company’s press release notes that its ACMI operations in Brazil, launched last year, are progressing as planned, with further fleet growth expected for Avion Express Brasil in 2026.

According to market research, Avion Express Brasil secured its Air Operator Certificate (AOC) in February 2025, becoming Brazil’s first dedicated ACMI operator. After launching its first commercial flight in August 2025, the subsidiary doubled its fleet to two A320s by December 2025. The company reportedly aims to grow the Brazilian fleet to five aircraft in 2026, with long-term projections targeting up to 25 aircraft by 2027–2028.

This expansion is already yielding results. Industry data confirms that Avion Express Brasil has signed its first long-term ACMI contract with the Argentine low-cost carrier Flybondi, cementing its footprint in the broader Latin-America market.

“This strategy of diversifying our global footprint and customer base was intentionally designed to serve as a hedge, allowing us to remain resilient even when unforeseen events impact demand,” Kajokas noted in the company statement.

AirPro News analysis

We view the Avion Express fleet reduction as a classic “canary in the coal mine” scenario for the broader European aviation sector. Because ACMI providers act as the capacity buffer for the industry, shedding 25 percent of a European fleet is a massive leading indicator that major European airlines are quietly slashing their summer 2026 schedules. The combination of record-high fuel costs and the EU’s strict new carbon taxes has effectively made flying older aircraft in Europe economically unviable for marginal seasonal routes.

Furthermore, this realignment must be viewed through the lens of Avion Express’s parent company, Avia Solutions Group (ASG). While ASG is the world’s largest ACMI provider with a global fleet of over 140 aircraft, financial markets have noted recent pressures. S&P Global Ratings recently revised the group’s outlook to negative following the late-2025 bankruptcy of its Latvian subsidiary, SmartLynx. We assess that Avion Express’s fleet reduction is likely a dual-purpose move: mitigating exposure to a stagnant European summer market while simultaneously improving overall group leverage and EBITDA margins for ASG.

The foresight to launch in Brazil in 2025 is proving to be a vital corporate hedge. The contrast between a stagnating, highly taxed European market and a capacity-hungry Latin American market underscores a growing trend of European aviation assets migrating to the Global South.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is an ACMI operator?

ACMI stands for Aircraft, Crew, Maintenance, and Insurance. ACMI operators, also known as “wet lease” providers, lease fully equipped and crewed aircraft to other airlines, typically to help them manage seasonal demand peaks or operational shortfalls.

Why is Avion Express returning 15 aircraft?

According to the company, the reduction is due to geopolitical challenges, airspace closures, and rising fuel costs that have led European carriers to revise their summer growth plans. Industry data also points to record-high jet fuel prices and increased EU carbon taxes making older aircraft more expensive to operate in Europe.

Where is Avion Express expanding?

The company is accelerating its expansion into Latin America through its subsidiary, Avion Express Brasil. The Brazilian unit is expected to grow its fleet to five aircraft in 2026 to serve the growing South American aviation market.

Sources:

• Avion Express Official Press Release